
Geopolitics·Prediction Market
US–Iran ceasefire before Dec 31, 2026?
Parimutuel pool
Yes pool
58.0%
No pool
42.0%
1 USDC buys 1 share. Winners split the full pool at resolution. A 1.5% protocol fee applies on every buy, sell, and claim. This shows the parimutuel Yes/No split — use the Limit tab in the trade panel to post bids and asks; the order book ladder appears here once open orders exist.
This market resolves to "Yes" if the outcome in "US–Iran ceasefire before Dec 31, 2026?" happens before the deadline; otherwise "No". Settlement uses official sources. Disputes follow platform and UMA oracle rules.

US–Iran ceasefire before Dec 31, 2026?
Yes