Predictions

Kansas City Chiefs54%
Philadelphia Eagles46%
Kansas City ChiefsPhiladelphia Eagles
4.2M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
NFL

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Argentina22%
YesNo
Brazil19%
YesNo
France16%
YesNo
England12%
YesNo
3.8M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

2026 US Senate control

Republicans54%
YesNo
Democrats38%
YesNo
50-50 tie8%
YesNo
2.8M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Ukraine ceasefire before Dec 31, 2026?

31%chance
YesNo
2.5M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US–Iran ceasefire before Dec 31, 2026?

58%chance
YesNo
2.1M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US recession in 2026?

22%chance
YesNo
1.7M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

China blockades Taiwan in 2026?

31%chance
YesNo
1.6M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Los Angeles Dodgers51%
New York Yankees49%
Los Angeles DodgersNew York Yankees
1.5M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
MLB

Bitcoin above $150k before 2027?

41%chance
YesNo
1.2M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

2026 NBA Finals Winner

Celtics28%
YesNo
Thunder24%
YesNo
Nuggets20%
YesNo
Knicks14%
YesNo
1.1M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US announces new EU tariff package before Oct 2026?

47%chance
YesNo
920k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Real Madrid44%
PSG56%
Real MadridPSG
920k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
UCL

Fed cuts rates at September 2026 meeting?

34%chance
YesNo
892k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Dogecoin above $1 in 2026?

18%chance
YesNo
890k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Ripple SEC case fully dismissed in 2026?

62%chance
YesNo
890k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

2026 F1 Drivers' Champion

Verstappen38%
YesNo
Norris27%
YesNo
Leclerc16%
YesNo
Hamilton11%
YesNo
780k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Gold above $3,000 in 2026?

61%chance
YesNo
742k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Best-performing AI chip stock in 2026

NVIDIA42%
YesNo
AMD28%
YesNo
Broadcom18%
YesNo
Intel8%
YesNo
720k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Tesla launches paid robotaxi service in 2026?

31%chance
YesNo
690k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Manchester City53%
Barcelona47%
Manchester CityBarcelona
680k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
UCL

Top AI model at end of June 2026?

OpenAI48%
YesNo
Google28%
YesNo
Anthropic18%
YesNo
640k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Most gold medals at 2026 Winter Olympics

Norway34%
YesNo
USA26%
YesNo
Germany18%
YesNo
Canada12%
YesNo
620k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US TikTok ban in effect before 2027?

39%chance
YesNo
615k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
ALC
Carlos Alcaraz52%
SIN
Jannik Sinner48%
Carlos AlcarazJannik Sinner
540k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Tennis

Predictions

Trade outcomes on live markets

Kansas City Chiefs54%
Philadelphia Eagles46%
Kansas City ChiefsPhiladelphia Eagles
4.2M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
NFL

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

Argentina22%
YesNo
Brazil19%
YesNo
France16%
YesNo
England12%
YesNo
3.8M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

2026 US Senate control

Republicans54%
YesNo
Democrats38%
YesNo
50-50 tie8%
YesNo
2.8M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Ukraine ceasefire before Dec 31, 2026?

31%chance
YesNo
2.5M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US–Iran ceasefire before Dec 31, 2026?

58%chance
YesNo
2.1M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US recession in 2026?

22%chance
YesNo
1.7M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

China blockades Taiwan in 2026?

31%chance
YesNo
1.6M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Los Angeles Dodgers51%
New York Yankees49%
Los Angeles DodgersNew York Yankees
1.5M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
MLB

Bitcoin above $150k before 2027?

41%chance
YesNo
1.2M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

2026 NBA Finals Winner

Celtics28%
YesNo
Thunder24%
YesNo
Nuggets20%
YesNo
Knicks14%
YesNo
1.1M SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US announces new EU tariff package before Oct 2026?

47%chance
YesNo
920k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Real Madrid44%
PSG56%
Real MadridPSG
920k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
UCL

Fed cuts rates at September 2026 meeting?

34%chance
YesNo
892k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Dogecoin above $1 in 2026?

18%chance
YesNo
890k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Ripple SEC case fully dismissed in 2026?

62%chance
YesNo
890k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

2026 F1 Drivers' Champion

Verstappen38%
YesNo
Norris27%
YesNo
Leclerc16%
YesNo
Hamilton11%
YesNo
780k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Gold above $3,000 in 2026?

61%chance
YesNo
742k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Best-performing AI chip stock in 2026

NVIDIA42%
YesNo
AMD28%
YesNo
Broadcom18%
YesNo
Intel8%
YesNo
720k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Tesla launches paid robotaxi service in 2026?

31%chance
YesNo
690k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Manchester City53%
Barcelona47%
Manchester CityBarcelona
680k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
UCL

Top AI model at end of June 2026?

OpenAI48%
YesNo
Google28%
YesNo
Anthropic18%
YesNo
640k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

Most gold medals at 2026 Winter Olympics

Norway34%
YesNo
USA26%
YesNo
Germany18%
YesNo
Canada12%
YesNo
620k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC

US TikTok ban in effect before 2027?

39%chance
YesNo
615k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
ALC
Carlos Alcaraz52%
SIN
Jannik Sinner48%
Carlos AlcarazJannik Sinner
540k SOLVol.·0.00 USDC
Tennis